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Geometric Brownian motion
Introduction
A geometric Brownian motion (GBM) (occasionally, exponential Brownian motion) is a continuous-time stochastic process in which the logarithm of the randomly varying quantity follows a Brownian motion, or a Wiener process. It is applicable to mathematical modelling of some phenomena in financial markets. It is used particularly in the field of option pricing because a quantity that follows a GBM may take any value strictly greater than zero, and only the fractional changes of the random variate are significant. This is a reasonable approximation of stock price dynamics.
A stochastic process St is said to follow a GBM if it satisfies the following stochastic differential equation:
- <math> dS_t = \mu S_t\,dt + \sigma S_t\,dW_t </math>
where <math> W_t </math> is a Wiener process or Brownian motion and <math> \mu </math> (‘the percentage drift’) and <math> \sigma </math> (‘the percentage volatility’) are constants.
The equation has an analytic solution:
- <math> S_t = S_0\exp\left( \left(\mu – \frac{\sigma^2}{2} \right)t + \sigma W_t\right) </math>
for an arbitrary initial value S0. The correctness of the solution can be verified using Itō’s lemma. The random variable log(St/S0) is normally distributed with mean <math> (\mu – \sigma^2/2)t </math> and variance <math> \sigma^2t </math>, which reflects the fact that increments of a GBM are normal relative to the current price, which is why the process has the name ‘geometric’.
