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Pancreatic cancer staging

Introduction

Overview

Overview

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is staged with two complementary systems that should be kept separate. The AJCC 8th edition TNM classification (2017) is an anatomic and pathologic system used mainly for prognosis and standardized reporting. In the 8th edition, T category is defined chiefly by tumor size, N category by the number of involved nodes, and T4 by arterial involvement regardless of size.[1] The clinical resectability classification of the NCCN has four tiers: resectable, borderline resectable, locally advanced, and metastatic. It is based on tumor contact with the peripancreatic arteries and veins on pancreas-protocol imaging, and it determines initial management.[2][3] Biologic markers (CA 19-9, nodal disease) and conditional factors (performance status) are increasingly added to anatomic resectability.[4] Staging should be done with dedicated pancreas-protocol cross-sectional imaging and finalized by multidisciplinary consensus at a high-volume center.[2] Pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors have a separate AJCC staging system and are not covered here.[5]

Staging

Staging

AJCC 8th edition TNM classification

AJCC 8th edition TNM categories for exocrine pancreatic carcinoma[5][1]
Category Definition
Primary tumor (T)
TX Primary tumor cannot be assessed
T0 No evidence of primary tumor
Tis Carcinoma in situ, including high-grade PanIN and IPMN, intraductal tubulopapillary neoplasm, or mucinous cystic neoplasm with high-grade dysplasia
T1 Tumor ≤2 cm in greatest dimension
T1a: ≤0.5 cm; T1b: >0.5 cm and <1 cm; T1c: 1–2 cm
T2 Tumor >2 cm and ≤4 cm
T3 Tumor >4 cm
T4 Tumor involves the celiac axis, superior mesenteric artery (SMA), and/or common hepatic artery (CHA), regardless of size
Regional lymph nodes (N)
NX Regional lymph nodes cannot be assessed
N0 No regional lymph node metastasis
N1 Metastasis in 1–3 regional lymph nodes
N2 Metastasis in ≥4 regional lymph nodes
Distant metastasis (M)
M0 No distant metastasis
M1 Distant metastasis, including positive peritoneal cytology
  • The 7th edition MX category is no longer used; clinical M is assigned only as M0 or M1.[1]
  • The most common sites of distant spread are the liver, peritoneum, lung, and nonregional lymph nodes.[6]
AJCC 8th edition prognostic stage groups[5][2]
Stage T N M
0 Tis N0 M0
IA T1 N0 M0
IB T2 N0 M0
IIA T3 N0 M0
IIB T1–T3 N1 M0
III T1–T3 N2 M0
T4 Any N M0
IV Any T Any N M1

Changes from the 7th edition

  • T category is size-based. The 7th edition criterion of “extension beyond the pancreas” was subjective and poorly reproducible, and it placed most resected tumors in T3. Multi-institutional validation supported the new size and nodal cut-points and gave a more even distribution across stages without loss of prognostic accuracy.[7][8]
  • T1 is subdivided (T1a/b/c) to capture small, potentially screen-detected cancers.[1]
  • N category is stratified by node count (N1 = 1–3, N2 = ≥4), reflecting the prognostic value of nodal burden. Stage III now includes N2 disease of any size.[7]
  • T4 is defined by arterial involvement (celiac axis, SMA, CHA) and is no longer labeled “unresectable.” Some arterially involved tumors become resectable after neoadjuvant therapy at expert centers.[1]
  • AJCC stage is now explicitly a prognostic and reporting tool. Treatment selection relies on the resectability classification.[1]

Clinical resectability classification

Resectability determines initial therapy. It requires pancreas-protocol imaging and multidisciplinary review. A standardized radiology reporting template is preferred because inter-observer variability is high.[2][9]

NCCN resectability criteria for pancreatic adenocarcinoma[2]
Category Arterial: head/uncinate Arterial: body/tail Venous (SMV/PV)
Resectable No arterial tumor contact (celiac axis, SMA, or CHA) No contact, or ≤180° contact without vein contour irregularity
Borderline resectable Solid tumor contact with CHA without extension to the celiac axis or hepatic artery bifurcation; SMA contact ≤180°; contact with variant arterial anatomy Celiac axis contact ≤180° Contact >180°, or ≤180° with contour irregularity or thrombosis, with a suitable vessel above and below for reconstruction; contact with the inferior vena cava
Locally advanced SMA or celiac axis contact >180° SMA or celiac axis contact >180°; celiac axis contact with aortic involvement Unreconstructable SMV/PV occlusion
Metastatic Any M1 disease, including positive peritoneal cytology from laparoscopic or operative washings
  • A practical rule: arterial contact <180° suggests borderline resectable disease, and >180° suggests locally advanced disease. Unreconstructable venous involvement defines locally advanced disease.[3]
  • Locally advanced means anatomically unresectable at presentation. It does not mean incurable, because a subset of patients becomes resectable after induction therapy.[1]
  • Competing anatomic definitions exist (NCCN, MD Anderson, AHPBA/SSAT/SSO, Alliance, Dutch Pancreatic Cancer Group). They differ mainly in venous thresholds.[10]

Biologic and conditional staging (A-B-C framework)

International consensus criteria extend anatomic resectability with two further dimensions. These are increasingly used in risk stratification and trial design.[4]

Dimension Criteria
A – Anatomic Vascular contact as defined above
B – Biologic Surrogates of occult metastatic disease: CA 19-9 ≥500 U/mL, or regional nodal metastasis proven by biopsy or PET
C – Conditional Poor performance status (ECOG ≥2)
  • Biologically borderline disease (CA 19-9 ≥500 U/mL) is associated with worse survival even when the tumor is anatomically resectable.[9]

Staging workup

  • Pancreas-protocol multiphase contrast-enhanced CT is the preferred modality for detection, vascular mapping, and staging. It uses thin sections, pancreatic parenchymal and portal venous phases, and multiplanar reconstruction. Diagnostic accuracy is about 89%.[2][9]
    • Imaging should be obtained before biliary stent placement when feasible, because stents cause artifact that degrades vascular assessment. Imaging should also be within 4 weeks of planned surgery.[2]
    • Chest and pelvic CT complete staging.[2]
  • MRI/MRCP is a problem-solving adjunct. It is most useful for CT-indeterminate liver lesions, isoattenuating masses, and iodinated contrast allergy, and it is more sensitive than CT for small hepatic metastases.[2][11]
  • EUS is not a routine staging tool but is the preferred route for tissue acquisition. EUS-guided core biopsy is preferred over FNA and over percutaneous biopsy. Biopsy proof is not required before upfront resection when suspicion is high and should not delay it. Tissue is required before any chemotherapy or radiation.[2]
  • PET/CT or PET/MRI does not replace contrast-enhanced CT. Consider it for high-risk features (markedly elevated CA 19-9, large primary tumor, bulky regional nodes, equivocal imaging) to detect occult metastases, and for response assessment around neoadjuvant therapy.[2]
  • Staging laparoscopy is selective rather than routine. It is reserved for high-risk features, body/tail tumors (which carry a higher risk of occult peritoneal spread), ascites, and borderline resectable or locally advanced disease. With modern imaging, its yield for occult metastasis is about 15%.[2][9]
  • CA 19-9 should be measured after biliary decompression and normalization of bilirubin, because cholestasis falsely elevates it. It is uninformative in Lewis antigen–negative non-secretors (about 8–10%), in whom CEA and CA-125 may be used instead.[2][6]
  • Transabdominal ultrasound has no staging role. ERCP is used for biliary decompression and occasional brush cytology, not for staging.[2]

Clinically actionable recommendations

  1. Stage anatomy with pancreas-protocol CT (or MRI). Assign resectability by multidisciplinary consensus before any treatment.[12][2]
  2. Select initial therapy with the four-tier resectability classification, not the AJCC stage. Resectable disease may proceed to upfront surgery or neoadjuvant therapy. Borderline resectable and locally advanced disease receive neoadjuvant or induction systemic therapy first.[2][13]
  3. Interpret CA 19-9 after biliary drainage and use it as a biologic staging variable. A value ≥500 U/mL flags high-risk, biologically borderline disease.[4][2]
  4. Treat positive peritoneal cytology as M1 disease, regardless of anatomic resectability.[2]
  5. Refer patients to a high-volume center (≥15–20 pancreatectomies per year) for staging and management.[2]
  6. Do not use post-neoadjuvant imaging alone to deny surgery. Cross-sectional imaging poorly distinguishes viable tumor from treatment-related fibrosis.[2]

Stage at presentation and survival

  • More than half of patients (about 53–57%) present with stage IV disease. Most clinically localized tumors harbor occult micrometastases, which drives the high recurrence rate after resection.[9][13]
  • Five-year relative survival is about 12% across all stages and depends strongly on stage. It is about 44% for localized disease, 16% for regional disease, and 3% for distant disease. Only about 15% of cases are diagnosed at the localized stage.[14][15][16]
  • Overall 5-year survival rose from about 6% (2004) to about 12% (2015), driven mostly by better outcomes in localized disease.[14]
  • After neoadjuvant therapy and resection, actual 5-year survival is about 34% overall: about 42% for baseline resectable, 29% for borderline resectable, and 18% for locally advanced disease.[17]

Areas of uncertainty and controversy

  • Competing resectability definitions: In a NORPACT-2 subgroup analysis, Dutch Pancreatic Cancer Group criteria predicted both resectability and survival. NCCN criteria predicted only resectability.[18]
  • Prognostic performance of the 8th edition: One single-center validation found that the 8th edition better stratified early recurrence and disease-free survival, while the 7th edition kept stronger overall-survival discrimination.[19] The size-based pT category improved overall-survival stratification in several cohorts. The added prognostic value of the N1/N2 split has been inconsistent.[8]
  • Heterogeneity of stage III: N2 and T4 tumors are both stage III but have different treatment pathways and outcomes. Subdivision into IIIA (T1–3 N2 M0) and IIIB (T4 any N M0) has been proposed.[20][21]
  • Restaging after neoadjuvant therapy is unreliable, so radiographic resectability after treatment should not be the sole determinant of surgery.[2]
  • CA 19-9 threshold for staging laparoscopy: Reported thresholds range from ≥130 U/mL to ≥824 U/mL, and about 150 U/mL is most often cited.[22][23]

Clinical pearls and common pitfalls

  • AJCC stage answers “what is the prognosis?” Resectability answers “what do we do first?”[1]
  • Using routine, non-protocol CT misses subcentimeter metastases and underestimates vascular contact.[2]
  • Equating T4 or locally advanced disease with incurable disease is an error, because some patients respond to induction therapy and undergo resection.[10]
  • Applying 7th edition T and N definitions, which persist in older references and templates, misclassifies tumors.[1]
  • Over-ordering staging laparoscopy or PET in low-risk, clearly resectable disease yields little.[2]
References

References

  1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 Kulkarni NM, Soloff EV, Tolat PP, Sangster GP, Fleming JB, Brook OR, Wang ZJ, Hecht EM, Zins M, Bhosale PR, Arif-Tiwari H, Mannelli L, Kambadakone AR, Tamm EP (2020). “White paper on pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma from society of abdominal radiology’s disease-focused panel for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: Part I, AJCC staging system, NCCN guidelines, and borderline resectable disease”. Abdom Radiol (NY). 45 (3): 716–728. PMID 31748823.
  2. ↑ 2.00 2.01 2.02 2.03 2.04 2.05 2.06 2.07 2.08 2.09 2.10 2.11 2.12 2.13 2.14 2.15 2.16 2.17 2.18 2.19 2.20 2.21 2.22 National Comprehensive Cancer Network. NCCN Clinical Practice Guidelines in Oncology: Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma. Version 4.2026. 2026. NCCN guideline
  3. ↑ 3.0 3.1 Wood LD, Canto MI, Jaffee EM, Simeone DM (2022). “Pancreatic cancer: pathogenesis, screening, diagnosis, and treatment”. Gastroenterology. 163 (2): 386–402.e1. doi:10.1053/j.gastro.2022.03.056.
  4. ↑ 4.0 4.1 4.2 Strobel O, Neoptolemos J, Jäger D, Büchler MW (2019). “Optimizing the outcomes of pancreatic cancer surgery”. Nat Rev Clin Oncol. 16 (1): 11–26. PMID 30341417.
  5. ↑ 5.0 5.1 5.2 Amin MB, Edge SB, Greene FL, et al. (eds.) (2017). AJCC Cancer Staging Manual (8th ed.). New York: Springer.
  6. ↑ 6.0 6.1 Hidalgo M (2010). “Pancreatic cancer”. N Engl J Med. 362 (17): 1605–1617. doi:10.1056/NEJMra0901557. PMID 20427809.
  7. ↑ 7.0 7.1 Allen PJ, Kuk D, Castillo CF, Basturk O, Wolfgang CL, Cameron JL, Lillemoe KD, Ferrone CR, Morales-Oyarvide V, He J, Weiss MJ, Hruban RH, Gönen M, Klimstra DS, Mino-Kenudson M (2017). “Multi-institutional validation study of the American Joint Commission on Cancer (8th edition) changes for T and N staging in patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma”. Ann Surg. 265 (1): 185–191. PMID 27163957.
  8. ↑ 8.0 8.1 Cong L; et al. (2018). “Tumor size classification of the 8th edition of TNM staging system is superior to that of the 7th edition in predicting the survival outcome of pancreatic cancer patients after radical resection and adjuvant chemotherapy”. Sci Rep. 8: 10383. doi:10.1038/s41598-018-28193-4. PMID 29991730.
  9. ↑ 9.0 9.1 9.2 9.3 9.4 Stoop TF, Javed AA, Oba A, Groot Koerkamp B, Seufferlein T, Wilmink JW, Besselink MG (2025). “Pancreatic cancer”. Lancet. 405 (10485): 1182–1202. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(25)00261-2.
  10. ↑ 10.0 10.1 Springfeld C, Ferrone CR, Katz MHG, Philip PA, Hong TS, Hackert T, Büchler MW, Neoptolemos J (2023). “Neoadjuvant therapy for pancreatic cancer”. Nat Rev Clin Oncol. 20 (5): 318–337. doi:10.1038/s41571-023-00746-1. PMID 36932224 Check |pmid= value (help).
  11. ↑ Roth S, et al. Pancreatic cancer. Nat Rev Dis Primers. 2026.
  12. ↑ Khorana AA; et al. (2019). “Potentially curable pancreatic adenocarcinoma: ASCO clinical practice guideline update”. J Clin Oncol. 37 (23): 2082–2088. doi:10.1200/JCO.19.00946. PMID 31180816.
  13. ↑ 13.0 13.1 Verkolf EMM, et al. Prediction of resection after preoperative FOLFIRINOX in localized pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (TAPS Consortium). J Natl Cancer Inst. 2026.
  14. ↑ 14.0 14.1 Rahib L, Coffin T, Kenner B (2025). “Factors driving pancreatic cancer survival rates”. Pancreas. 54 (6): e530–e536. PMID 40245290 Check |pmid= value (help).
  15. ↑ National Cancer Institute. Cancer Stat Facts: Pancreatic Cancer. Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program. SEER Stat Facts
  16. ↑ Bryce C, Bucaj M. Pancreatic cancer: rapid evidence review. Am Fam Physician. 2024.
  17. ↑ De Stefano F, et al. Actual five-year survival after neoadjuvant therapy and resection for localized pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. Ann Surg. 2026. PMID: 42717278.
  18. ↑ Ghotbi J; et al. (2025). “Anatomical classification and staging systems of borderline resectable and locally advanced pancreatic cancer: NORPACT-2 subgroup analysis”. Ann Surg Oncol. doi:10.1245/s10434-025-17527-y. PMID 40461886 Check |pmid= value (help).
  19. ↑ Colino-Gallardo AM; et al. (2025). “Prognostic validity of the 8th edition American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM staging system for pancreatic adenocarcinomas: an analysis of 214 patients at a Spanish center”. Cancers (Basel). 17 (11): 1890. doi:10.3390/cancers17111890. PMID 40507371 Check |pmid= value (help).
  20. ↑ Song M, Yoon SB, Lee IS; et al. (2018). “Evaluation of the prognostic value of the new AJCC 8th edition staging system for patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma; a need to subclassify stage III?”. Eur J Cancer. PMID 30326370.
  21. ↑ Shi S, Hua J, Liang C; et al. (2019). “Proposed modification of the 8th edition of the AJCC staging system for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma”. Ann Surg. 269 (5): 944–950. PMID 29334560.
  22. ↑ Maithel SK, Maloney S, Winston C; et al. (2008). “Preoperative CA 19-9 and the yield of staging laparoscopy in patients with radiographically resectable pancreatic adenocarcinoma”. Ann Surg Oncol. 15 (12): 3512–3520. PMID 18781364.
  23. ↑ Kasai Y, Takaori K, Hatano E. The role of laparoscopy and peritoneal cytology in the management of pancreatic cancer. Pancreas. 2023.

Editor-In-Chief: C. Michael Gibson, M.S., M.D. [1]; Associate Editor(s)-in-Chief: Fahad Hasan, M.D.[2] Aravind Reddy Kothagadi M.B.B.S[3]